Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Barnsley		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4.5	Watch
	1.80	3.80	4.20
	1.62	3.85	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.89	4.9
	1.66	4.14	4.77	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.85
	1.74	4.1	4.63	Watch
	1.71	4.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)	3.98 ↓ (4.37)	4.64 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
55.8%

Draw
23.8%

Crewe Alexandra
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	13.6%	4.5%

Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Barnsley (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ravenhill R. (G) 11. Noslin T. 4. Gale S. 2. Kay A. 7. O'Keeffe C. 30. Bland J. 8. McGeehan C. (C) 19. Cleary R. 22. Kelly P. 36. Alker L. 9. Kirk M.	1. Booth T. (G) 30. Dancey S. 22. Croker P. 6. Offord L. (C) 4. Ure K. 12. Stephenson J. 23. McNeill C. 32. Moore L. 3. Hutchinson R. 20. Agius C. 29. Thibaut A.
Substitutes
44. Dunne T. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 37. Hudson C. 17. Richards A. 38. Saunders N. 5. Shepherd J. 13. Taylor C. 34. Town N.	2. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. 36. Ewusi J. 14. Gibson J. 7. Lankester J. 9. March J. 27. Mlynarski P. 31. Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Stendel D.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Thibaut A. ⚽, McNeill C. (A),
23', Bland J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Noslin T. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, O'Keeffe C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Hutchinson R. ↓, Billington L. ↑,
52', Agius C. ↓, Mlynarski P. ↑,
53', Offord L. ↓, Demetriou M. ↑,
53', Stephenson J. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
67', Alker L. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
67', Kirk M. ↓, Town N. ↑,
80', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Saunders N. ↑,
80', McGeehan C. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
85', Noslin T. ↓, Dunne T. ↑,
86', Moore L. ↓, Ewusi J. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Ewusi J. ⚽, Billington L. (A),
89', Ravenhill R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Barnsley is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
22.08.26	Doncaster Rovers - Barnsley	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Barnsley - Bromley	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Barnsley - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Scarborough Athletic - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLWWW
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
22.08.26	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Chester - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	2:1
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	3:0
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
English FA Cup
05.01.20	Crewe Alexandra - Barnsley	1:3
English League One
27.02.16	Crewe Alexandra - Barnsley	1:2
10.10.15	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	1:2
21.02.15	Barnsley - Crewe Alexandra	2:0

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