Match Info

National League - Round 40

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Scunthorpe United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.1
	3.15	3.55	2.08
	3.28	3.61	2.13
	3.11	3.75	2.08	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.32	3.38	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.33)	3.53 ↑ (3.43)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
29.1%

Draw
26.2%

Rochdale
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.8%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Scunthorpe United - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Scunthorpe will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Rochdale will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jones L. (G) 33. Denton T. 6. Boyce A. (C) 3. Horton B. 4. Belehouan J. 25. Westbrooke Z. 11. Rowley J. 17. Ewing O. 10. Roberts C. 9. Whitehall D. 14. Jones P.	13. Winterbottom B. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 12. Hannant L. 4. East R. 16. Pettit C. 10. Rodney D. 22. Moss D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 18. Barlow A.
Substitutes
44. Barrows R. 8. Beestin A. 16. Dausch A. 5. Evans W. 30. Farrell L. 38. Mahady R. (G) 32. Smith C.	19. Burger J. 30. Duku I. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Hannant L. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Barlow A. ⚽,
53', Rowley J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Roberts C. ⚽, Boyce A. (A),
69', Ewing O. ↓, Beestin A. ↑,
69', Whitehall D. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
69', Rodney D. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
78', Jones P. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
82', Hannant L. ↓, Hosannah B. J. ↑,
82', Barlow A. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Beestin A. ⚽,
88', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
88', Gordon K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Rochdale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.61%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League
21.03.26	Braintree Town - Scunthorpe United	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Truro City - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Scunthorpe United - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Yeovil Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
21.03.26	Rochdale - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rochdale - Boston United	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Rochdale - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.02.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:4
English League Two
19.02.22	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:2
14.08.21	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	0:0
English League One
23.03.19	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	3:1
08.09.18	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	3:3
24.03.18	Scunthorpe United - Rochdale	1:1

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