Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)


	Rochdale		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.61	4.25	5.26
	1.58	4.25	5.26
	1.59	4.14	4.8
	1.52	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	5.02 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rochdale
59.1%

Draw
22.5%

Dorking Wanderers
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Rochdale - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Chapman J. (G) 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 20. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 18. Hayes C. 13. Keohane J. 25. Mather S. 9. Mitchell K. 15. Nevett G. 10. Rodney D.	21. Huk S. (G) 30. Bowerman S. 16. Carter C. 5. Craig T. 22. Fuller B. (C) 25. Kuhl A. 7. Muitt J. 2. Philpott I. 10. Rutherford A. 3. Taylor B. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
14. Bughail-Mellor D. 40. Henderson I. 3. Murray S. 19. Sassi D. 7. Sinclair T.	29. Blair T. 19. Hollis H. 12. Kennedy C. 18. Moore L. 4. Pybus D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Philpott I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bowerman S. ↓, Blair T. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Carter C. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Rodney D. ⚽,
58', Kuhl A. 🟨,
60', Kuhl A. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
63', Muitt J. 🟨,
66', Keohane J. ↓, Bughail-Mellor D. ↑,
81', Rutherford A. ↓, Pybus D. ↑,
83', Gilmour H. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
85', Rodney D. 🟨,
89', Mather S. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
89', Moore L. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Rochdale is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorking is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rochdale is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
06.04.24	Oldham Athletic - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Gateshead - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Rochdale - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Eastleigh - Rochdale	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
11.04.24	Wealdstone - Dorking Wanderers	4:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dorking Wanderers - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Aldershot Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Bromley	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Barnet - Dorking Wanderers	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Rochdale	1:2

Upcoming Matches