Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.25
	1.5	4.25	5.7
	1.49	4.3	6.01	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.75
	1.45	3.98	6.29
	1.5	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)	4.09 ↑ (3.89)	6 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
62.2%

Draw
22.5%

Hartlepool United
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rochdale - Hartlepool United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Rochdale (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rochdale will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rochdale will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Broome N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 35. Waller C. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 17. Pritchard J. 10. Rodney D. 21. McBride C. 38. Smith T.	12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 11. Charman L. 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. (C) 15. Hunter J. 10. Campbell A. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A.
Substitutes
18. Barlow A. 19. Burger J. 37. Galvin R. 40. Henderson I. 11. Mancini A. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C.	24. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 7. Francis J. 9. Johnson D. 6. McNally R. 35. Nathaniel-George A. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Hunter J. ↓, McNally R. ↑,
21', 0 - 1, Kouogun M. ⚽, Campbell A. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Charman L. ⚽, Campbell A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pritchard J. ↓, Galvin R. ↑,
55', Rodney D. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
62', Charman L. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
70', Smith T. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
77', McNally R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
77', Reid A. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
78', Waller C. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
78', McBride C. ↓, Mancini A. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.

Rochdale is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hartlepool is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
26.12.25	Morecambe - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Altrincham - Rochdale	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Leamington - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
25.11.25	Rochdale - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.12.25	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Braintree Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hartlepool United - Anstey Nomads	1:2 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Hartlepool United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.04.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	5:1
24.09.24	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:3
01.04.24	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:1
28.10.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:3
English League Two
21.01.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:0
26.12.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2
18.04.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	2:1

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