Match Info

National League - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.4	3.65
	1.95	3.57	3.85
	2	3.39	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.49	3.7
	1.9	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	3.42 ↑ (3.37)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
47.8%

Draw
27.1%

Forest Green Rovers
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.2%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Forest Green will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 19. Burger J. 22. Moss D. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	42. Isted H. (G) 47. Ahmed A. 6. Mendy L. (C) 25. Kircough G. 26. Nwoko C. 18. Campbell T. 7. McAllister K. 8. Haughton N. 17. Morrison E. 24. Buyabu J. 45. Rees R.
Substitutes
7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 30. Duku I. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J.	16. Bunker H. 14. Clarke J. 9. Doidge C. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 12. Pagel F. (G) 21. Pemberton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
43', 1 - 1, McAllister K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Gilmour H. 🟨,
56', Kircough G. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Moss D. (A),
71', Rodney D. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
72', Burger J. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
72', Morrison E. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
72', Haughton N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
78', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
78', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Hosannah B. J. ↑,
78', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
84', Buyabu J. 🟨,
90', Buyabu J. ↓, Doidge C. ↑,
90', Ahmed A. ↓, Pemberton T. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rochdale has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Forest Green is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Forest Green may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rochdale has had a series of home games.

Rochdale will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
07.02.26	Rochdale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rochdale - Truro City	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
07.02.26	York City - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Forest Green Rovers - Woking	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Wealdstone	0:3 ✺
English National League
24.01.26	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	3:2 ✺
21.01.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	0:1
18.01.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	1:0
24.08.24	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
English League Two
08.02.22	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	2:1
17.08.21	Rochdale - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

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