Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rochdale		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.45	3.6
	2	3.42	3.86
	1.96	3.48	3.69	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.92	3.3	3.62
	2	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.75 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
48.3%

Draw
27%

Boreham Wood
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochdale's performance.

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boreham Wood might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Rochdale - Boreham Wood Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Boreham Wood will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rochdale (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rochdale will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 2. Gordon K. 25. Perry C. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 19. Burger J. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 7. Allarakhia T.	1. Ashmore N. (G) 2. Coxe C. 25. Kensdale O. 5. Bush Ch. (C) 6. O'Connell C. 12. Newton J. 17. Clayden C. 8. Brunt Z. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.
Substitutes
18. Barlow A. 30. Duku I. 40. Henderson I. 23. Hosannah B. J. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J.	22. Curd T. (G) 14. Henry A. 18. Norris L. 4. Payne J. 20. Richardson L. 24. Robinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rodney D. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, East R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
55', Rodney D. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
65', Bush Ch. 🟨,
65', Burger J. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
65', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
70', Whatmuff O. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Brunt Z. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 4 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
76', Kensdale O. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
78', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
78', Allarakhia T. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rochdale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Boreham Wood's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rochdale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
27.01.26	Rochdale - Southend United	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rochdale - Truro City	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gateshead - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Boreham Wood
English National League
31.01.26	Boreham Wood - Boston United	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
27.01.26	Boreham Wood - Brackley Town	5:2 ✺
English National League
24.01.26	Altrincham - Boreham Wood	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Boreham Wood - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Braintree Town - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.08.25	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	0:2
16.04.24	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	0:0
19.09.23	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	1:1

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