Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Roda		Cambuur

	1	X	2
	2.85	4	2.1	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.18
	3.12	3.7	2.23
	1.91	4.07	3.34	Watch
	2.96	3.62	2.24	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.61)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	2.41 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
34.8%

Draw
25.5%

Cambuur
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.1%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Roda - Cambuur Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 25%). Cambuur (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 18. Kother T. 8. Muller J. P. 6. Paulissen M. 4. Nisbet J. 7. Seedorf C. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 14. Breij M.	1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 3. Berkhout J. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 20. Visser D. 14. van der Sande J. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 7. Balk R. 11. Sjostrand O.
Substitutes
15. Beerten L. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 11. Griffith I. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 10. Schwirten J. 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 33. Priem J. 18. Rolke T. 8. Souren N. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	de Jong H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Kother T. (A),
16', Visser D. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽, Galvez T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Paulissen M. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
57', Breij M. 🟨,
67', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
67', van der Sande J. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
69', Souren N. 🟨,
70', Sjostrand O. 🟨,
75', Seedorf C. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
76', Kother T. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
77', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
77', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
90+2', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Foss J. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.

In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambuur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Roda won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Cambuur - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.25	FC Oss - Roda	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Roda - Waalwijk	1:4 ✺
15.09.25	Jong PSV - Roda	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Roda - Jong Ajax	3:3 ✺
29.08.25	Roda - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTT
- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.09.25	Cambuur - Jong PSV	5:3 ✺
22.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
12.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cambuur - Willem II	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.01.25	Roda - Cambuur	0:1
16.09.24	Cambuur - Roda	0:0
03.05.24	Roda - Cambuur	2:0
19.11.23	Cambuur - Roda	1:1
28.03.21	Roda - Cambuur	3:1
23.10.20	Cambuur - Roda	3:0
21.02.20	Cambuur - Roda	2:0

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