The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roda 42.3%
Draw 26.2%
Waalwijk 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
26.9%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
26.8%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roda's performance.
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waalwijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waalwijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Roda - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Roda (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 25. Marsman B. 11. Dorenbosch D. 24. Deom J. 5. Jansen K. 4. Nisbet J. 26. Sleegers J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 25. Bakboord N. 3. van der Plas S. 30. de Wijs J. (C) 55. Held N. 6. Postma L. 8. Nap J. 7. Fage R. 10. van Leeuwen T. 11. van der Veen Y. 27. Stokkers F.
Substitutes
19. Crabu N. 32. Maoujoudi N. 6. Paulissen M. 10. Schenten F. 7. Seedorf C. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 27. Van Mieghem K. 2. Verheij L.
24. Dkidak A. 42. Kemmeren B. 17. Kuijpers R. 93. Misidjan V. 13. Mulder X. (G) 9. van de Haar J. 22. van de Loo T. 19. van Gemert H. 18. van Hedel R. 31. Vogels L. (G)
Coaches
Penders R.
Duits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Marsman B. ⚽, Deom J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Sleegers J. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
56', Deom J. ↓, van den Berg X. ↑,
61', Postma L. 🟨,
62', Stokkers F. ↓, van de Haar J. ↑,
62', Postma L. ↓, van de Loo T. ↑,
62', Fage R. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Seedorf C. ⚽, van den Berg X. (A),
75', Bakboord N. 🟨,
77', Marsman B. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
77', van den Hurk A. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
79', Bakboord N. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
80', van der Veen Y. ↓, Dkidak A. ↑,
90+1', Nisbet J. ↓, Crabu N. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Waalwijk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Doubtful / questionable for Roda: Khaldi Z.
(Illness).
Doubtful / questionable for Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Roda has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:22 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Roda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
Waalwijk: 7.38% Roda: 3.87%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Roda
10
4
4
2
10:8
2
16
9
Waalwijk
10
3
5
2
19:15
4
14
Last Results with these Odds
Roda - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Waalwijk - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Treichel J. (G) 
Tol M. 
Van den Buijs D. 
Nisbet J. 
van den Hurk A. (C) 
Bakboord N. 
Fage R. 
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