Match Info

FNL - Round 16

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Rotor

	1	X	2
	2.09	2.94	4.12
	1.95	3.06	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3 ↓ (3.09)	4.23 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
46.5%

Draw
31.3%

Rotor
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

30.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Rodina Moscow - Rotor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 88. Sokol A. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 49. Dyatlov I. 6. Fishchenko R. 99. Timoshenko I. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 7. Gueye P. 9. Maksimenko A.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 2. Korotkov A. 37. Fomin D. 80. Bardybakhin V. 11. Kleshchenko A. 9. Davidyan D. 18. Kaynov M. 6. Makarov S. (C) 24. Maltsev M. 7. Safronov I. 33. Arbuzov Y.
Substitutes
1. Aydarov S. (G) 91. Barinov D. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 5. Egorychev A. 3. Goglichidze L. 72. Gordyushenko A. 77. Koryan A. 11. Kozhedub S. 52. Kuzmichev I. 23. Ushatov K.	73. Aznaurov I. 70. Khokhlachev A. 34. Khramtsov M. 23. Lavrishchev D. 8. Makarov A. 27. Nikishin K. 77. Sasin D. 28. Semenov A. 17. Shilnikov G. 3. Shvetsov M. 10. Simonyan A. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Diaz J.	Boyarintsev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Kleshchenko A. ↓, Shvetsov M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sokol A. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
46', Dyatlov I. ↓, Goglichidze L. ↑,
46', Davidyan D. ↓, Khokhlachev A. ↑,
47', Makarov S. ↓, Simonyan A. ↑,
55', Kaynov M. 🟨,
66', Gueye P. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
69', Safronov I. ↓, Shilnikov G. ↑,
77', Fomin D. 🟨,
77', Meshchaninov A. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,
85', Musaev L. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
85', Maltsev M. ↓, Lavrishchev D. ↑,
89', Bessmertniy S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 7).

Rodina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rotor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.

Rodina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
19.10.25	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian FNL
20.10.25	Fakel - Rotor	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Rotor - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rotor	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Shinnik - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Veles Moscow - Rotor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.03.25	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	0:1
26.08.24	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	2:2
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.20	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	6:0

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