Match Info

FNL - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Rodina Moscow		Ufa

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.17	7.32
	1.53	4.12	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)	4.15 ↑ (4.01)	7.01 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
63.2%

Draw
23.1%

Ufa
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

23.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

23.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Ufa aligns with the current prediction.

Rodina Moscow - Ufa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 18. Abdusalamov M. 17. Bakaev S. 80. Bessmertniy S. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 3. Goglichidze L. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 10. Reyna Y. 99. Timoshenko I.	31. Belenov A. (G) 23. Akhatov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 8. Isaev S. 18. Kamilov V. 15. Khabalov A. 50. Khomukha I. 5. Kutin D. 70. Ortiz D. 7. Perchenok A. 71. Yakuev M.
Substitutes
. Arse 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 8. Cissoko K. 49. Dyatlov I. 96. Gharibyan A. 77. Koryan A. 9. Maksimenko A. 38. Musaev L. 88. Sokol A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 23. Ushatov K.	88. Ageyan M. 27. Ivanov A. 12. Lipovoy D. 1. Lomaev I. (G) 19. Mayorov E. 11. Minatulaev O. 17. Ozmanov D. 55. Shlyakov E. 79. Troyanov K.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Tetradze O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Bakaev S. 🟨,
35', Kamilov V. 🟨,
43', Isaev S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Goglichidze L. ↓, Dyatlov I. ↑,
54', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
55', Bakaev S. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
64', 🟥,
68', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
71', Akhatov D. 🟨,
74', Ortiz D. ↓, Minatulaev O. ↑,
74', Akhatov D. ↓, Ageyan M. ↑,
74', Baranovsky A. ↓, Lipovoy D. ↑,
80', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Arse V. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', Yakuev M. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
90', Perchenok A. 🟨,
90', Dyatlov I. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2.

Rodina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ufa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rodina is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ufa: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ufa	12	4	6	2	16:13	3	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Rotor - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTWWW
- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
22.04.26	Ufa - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ufa - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ural - Ufa	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.02.26	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	2:2
Russian FNL
16.08.25	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:0
20.04.25	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	2:0
15.09.24	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	2:0
07.05.23	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	2:1
16.10.22	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:1

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