Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 19

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Yantar (Moscow)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Veles Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.55	3.55
	1.81	3.84	3.99
	1.83	3.78	3.86	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.11)	3.72 ↑ (3.28)	3.79 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
50.7%

Draw
24.9%

Veles Moscow
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodina Moscow's performance.

Veles Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veles Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rodina Moscow - Veles Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Veles will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rodina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rodina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
13.11.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Rodina Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:4 ✺
Russian FNL
29.10.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WWLWL
- Veles Moscow
Russian FNL
12.11.22	Veles Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Akron Tolyatti - Veles Moscow	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Veles Moscow - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Veles Moscow	6:0 ✺
16.10.22	Veles Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.07.22	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:2
Russian PFL West
30.08.19	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow	1:2
Russian Cup
28.07.19	Rodina Moscow - Veles Moscow	0:2

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