Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Roma		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	8
	1.44	4.6	6.25
	1.46	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.8	6.4
	1.41	5.08	7.83
	1.43	5.25	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	4.83 ↓ (5.58)	7.23 ↓ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
66.9%

Draw
19.8%

Bodø Glimt
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

17.1%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

15.2%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Roma - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg.

Roma was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (53%), has a chance of final (26%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Bodø/Glimt was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (47%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 65, very big importance 100, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Roma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bodø/Glimt in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Roma is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
10.04.22	Roma - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Roma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.04.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	Roma - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWT
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.04.22	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Roma	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.03.22	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	AZ Alkmaar - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Roma	2:1
04.11.21	Roma - Bodø Glimt	2:2
21.10.21	Bodø Glimt - Roma	6:1

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