Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Bodø Glimt		Roma

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.85
	4	3.4	1.9
	3.7	3.65	1.98
	4.1	3.45	1.9
	4.21	3.55	1.96
	4.15	3.72	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.35)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
23.6%

Draw
26.8%

Roma
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.3%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.2%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	15.9%	63.6%

Bodø Glimt - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 18 - 20.5%). Roma will win (votes: 56 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 15.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 53.5% – 73.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Bodø/Glimt was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Roma was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (76%), has a chance of final (37%), has a chance of win league (21%).

This event has quality 65, very big importance 99, big match rating 82. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Bodø/Glimt in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Roma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bodø/Glimt have a series of home games.

Roma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bodø/Glimt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bodø/Glimt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.04.22	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.03.22	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	AZ Alkmaar - Bodø Glimt	2:2 ET ✺
10.03.22	Bodø Glimt - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
24.02.22	Bodø Glimt - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
03.04.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.03.22	Roma - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.03.22	Udinese - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Vitesse - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.11.21	Roma - Bodø Glimt	2:2
21.10.21	Bodø Glimt - Roma	6:1

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