Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Roma		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.55	4.1	5.25
	1.55	4.3	5.8
	1.53	4.3	5.8
	1.56	4.32	6.05
	1.56	4.55	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	4.32 ↑ (4.3)	5.92 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
61.8%

Draw
22.1%

Vitesse
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.2%

18%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitesse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Roma - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 48 - 72.7%). Vitesse will win (votes: 12 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 62% – 83.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg.

Roma was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (92%), has a good chance of semis (56%), has a chance of final (32%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Vitesse was already of round of 16, has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 62, big importance 87, big match rating 75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Roma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Vitesse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Roma is a favorite.

Recent matches Vitesse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Roma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
13.03.22	Udinese - Roma	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Vitesse - Roma	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
05.03.22	Roma - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Spezia - Roma	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Roma - Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWT
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.22	Heracles Almelo - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Vitesse - Roma	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.03.22	Vitesse - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Vitesse - NEC Nijmegen	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Vitesse - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Vitesse - Roma	0:1

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