Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 19 December 2022, Monday


	Roma		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75	Watch
	1.36	5	7
	1.33	4.9	7
	1.36	5.13	7.22
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.36	4.95	7.5	Watch
	1.35	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	4.88 ↑ (4)	7.24 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
68.4%

Draw
18.9%

Casa Pia
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

20.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roma's performance.

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casa Pia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Roma - Casa Pia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Casa Pia have a series of home games.

In this match Roma is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Roma - Cádiz	0:3 ✺
28.11.22	Roma - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:3 ✺
25.11.22	Nagoya Grampus - Roma	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.11.22	Roma - Torino	1:1 ✺
09.11.22	Sassuolo - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTTT
- Casa Pia
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Casa Pia - Trofense	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Casa Pia - Braga	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.11.22	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Casa Pia - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLW

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