Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.92	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.98	3.18	4.79
	1.9	3.22	4.64	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.4
	1.92	3.18	4.86	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	4.61 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
49.3%

Draw
30.2%

Belgrano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

29.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Rosario Central - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Rosario (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (G) 15. Mallo Blanco F. 46. Ovando I. 33. Soto A. 16. Gimenez E. 20. Pizarro V. 5. Ibarra F. 3. Sandez A. 11. Di Maria A. 8. Campaz J. 9. Veliz A.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 16. Ricca F. 24. Rigoni E. 21. Sanchez A. 5. Longo S. 53. Velazquez J. 22. Fernandez N. 10. Zelarayan L.
Substitutes
1. Broun J. (G) 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 32. Coronel E. 27. Duarte G. 36. Guich A. 19. Modica A. 31. Navarro F. 30. O'Connor T. 39. Oviedo F. 47. Raffin L. 10. Segovia S.	26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 28. Daniele M. (G) 45. Falcon A. 11. Gonzalez F. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 15. Tulian R. 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Morales L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Di Maria A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Morales L. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
58', Sanchez A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
60', Ibarra F. 🟨,
66', Ovando I. 🟨,
68', Soto A. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
69', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
75', Rigoni E. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
82', Longo S. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
83', Velazquez J. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
87', Ibarra F. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
87', Campaz J. ↓, Raffin L. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Mallo Blanco F. (Own goal),
89', 1 - 2, Gutierrez L. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 2.

In this match, Rosario is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Quintana C. (Broken ankle) Segovia S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S. (Knee Injury) Lopez L. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.11.25	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Independiente - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Rosario Central	1:3 ✺
24.10.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.11.25	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
10.11.25	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Belgrano - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.10.25	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.12.24	Rosario Central - Belgrano	2:1
28.07.23	Belgrano - Rosario Central	0:0
02.03.19	Rosario Central - Belgrano	0:0
Torneos De Verano
13.01.19	Rosario Central - Belgrano	1:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.04.18	Rosario Central - Belgrano	2:1
18.12.16	Belgrano - Rosario Central	0:2
Copa Argentina
30.11.16	Belgrano - Rosario Central	0:2

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