Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN


	Rosario Central		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.08	3.15	3.7	Watch
	2.16	3.13	3.89
	2.16	3.13	3.89
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.22	3.79	Watch
	2.14	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.13 ↓ (3.14)	3.73 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
44.8%

Draw
30.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.5%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	29.4%	5.9%

Rosario Central - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (C) 4. Martinez D. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 2. Quintana C. 3. Sandez A. 60. Gomez J. 45. Ortiz K. 30. O'Connor T. 10. Malcorra I. 13. Jaminton Campaz 32. Hernandez A.	12. De Amores G. (G) 18. Mayada C. 23. Mendez J. 4. Rodriguez G. 15. Olivera M. 14. Garcia D. 13. Darias E. 8. Fernandez L. 10. Ramirez G. (C) 7. Cabrera J. 11. Silvera M.
Substitutes
48. Cervera T. 33. Coronel E. 29. Dupuy L. 17. Giaccone L. 24. Gimenez J. 8. Ibarra F. 6. Komar J. 18. Lo Celso F. 44. Modica A. 37. Ocampo E. 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 20. Werner A. (G)	33. Acosta N. 3. Gianoli M. 30. Gonzalez A. 9. Gonzalez F. 2. Leo Coelho 27. Lucas Hernandez 22. Matheus Babi 20. Milans P. 28. Neris P. 1. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Sosa D. 25. Sosa I.
Coaches
Russo M.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
40', Darias E. 🟨,
43', Gomez J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Quintana C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ramirez G. 🟨,
48', Martinez D. 🟨,
56', O'Connor T. 🟨,
62', Darias E. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
62', Ramirez G. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
62', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
68', Cervera T. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
68', Gomez J. ↓, Ibarra F. ↑,
78', Cabrera J. ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
80', O'Connor T. ↓, Komar J. ↑,
85', Martinez D. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
88', Mendez J. 🟨,
90', Silvera M. ↓, Gianoli M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Rosario is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peñarol in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rosario will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.03.24	Rosario Central - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
14.03.24	Rosario Central - Douglas Haig	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Rosario Central - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
05.03.24	Vélez Sársfield - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW

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