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Current Win Probability
Rosario Central 62.1%
Draw 25.3%
Sarmiento de Junín 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
27.8%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
29.1%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Sarmiento (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rosario Central will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ledesma C. (C) 16. Gimenez E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 18. Fernandez J. 28. Fernandez P. 8. Campaz J. 9. Veliz A.
1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 8. Salle S. 14. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 19. Contrera J. 27. Marabel J. 7. Magnin P.
Substitutes
1. Broun J. (G) 7. Cabrera M. 26. Cantizano G. 22. Copetti E. 32. Coronel E. 11. Di Maria A. 27. Duarte G. 31. Navarro F. 39. Oviedo F. 2. Quintana C. 47. Raffin L. 33. Soto A.
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 18. Gimenez O. 11. Gomez J. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M. 3. Suarez L.
Coaches
Almiron J.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Veliz A. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Contrera J. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
60', Magnin P. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
63', Sandez A. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
63', Fernandez J. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
69', Fernandez P. ↓, Di Maria A. ↑,
70', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
71', Pasquini N. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
76', Pizarro V. 🟨,
77', Gimenez E. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Gomez J. ⚽, Marabel J. (A),
87', Martinez M. ↓, Alaggia F. ↑,
87', Marabel J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90+13', 2 - 1, Pizarro V. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rosario is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Rosario: Di Maria A.
(Inactive)
Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Mallo Blanco F.
(Inactive)
Ruben M.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sarmiento: Renteria J.
(Injury)
Salle S.
(Injury)
Villalba C.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Argentina
Italy
Kosovo
Portugal
Serbia
United-kingdom
Usa
World
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Ledesma C. (C) 
Gimenez E. 
Pizarro V. 
Campaz J. 
Burrai J. (G) 
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