Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rosenborg		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.90	4.75
	1.68	3.85	4.85
	1.69	4.15	5.2
	1.66	4.1	4.87	Watch
	1.65	4.1	5.1
	1.64	3.95	5.32	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.08)	3.98 ↑ (3.6)	5.01 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
57.3%

Draw
23.8%

Tromsø
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg's performance.

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tromsø might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tromsø could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Rosenborg - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tromsø will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rosenborg (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Tromsø (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tromsø (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 11. Sahsah N. 17. Bomholt M. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 7. Nordli S. 18. Chiakha A. 35. Ceide E. K.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 37. Innvaer S. 33. Jatta M. 21. Hien L. 30. Vadebu I. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 70. Bjorlo M. 15. Erlien V. 22. Larsen H.
Substitutes
3. Dahl T. 29. Duris D. 6. Kjolo M. 23. Mampassi M. 15. Mortensen J. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 30. Soboczynski M. 5. Volden H.	17. Dahlqvist I. 19. Elvebu A. L. 8. Grundt J. 7. Larsen L. O. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 40. Molund E. 10. Nyhammer T. 24. Osuji V.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Selnaes O. ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Chiakha A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Sahsah N. ⚽,
42', Erlien V. 🟨,
44', 4 - 0, Witry A. F. ⚽, Selnaes O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Innvaer S. ↓, Dahlqvist I. ↑,
47', 5 - 0, Sahsah N. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
49', Edvardsson D. 🟨,
60', Edvardsson D. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
60', Bjorlo M. ↓, Grundt J. ↑,
66', Ceide E. K. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
70', Erlien V. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
71', 5 - 1, Nyhammer T. ⚽,
74', Wahlstedt L. 🟨,
75', 5 - 2, Larsen H. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Witry A. F. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
76', Nordli S. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
76', Chiakha A. ↓, Soboczynski M. ↑,
77', 5 - 3, Selnaes O. (Own goal),
81', Sahsah N. ↓, Dahl T. ↑,
86', Soboczynski M. 🟨,
88', Hien L. ↓, Osuji V. ↑,
90+3', Osuji V. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 2.

Rosenborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tromsø's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rosenborg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Bakke J. (Injury) Fossum I. (Thigh Injury) Islamovic D. (Leg Injury) Reitan-Sunde J. (Injury) Svensson J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Tromsø: Braut D. (Hip Injury) Tonnessen M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tromsø: Oyvann C. (Injury) Skjaervik V. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:11. (average 2.3:0.9).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Tromso: 1.13% Rosenborg: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40:29	11	38
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.09.26	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Brann - Rosenborg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.09.26	Kristiansund - Tromsø	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tromsø	4:0 ✺
20.08.26	Tromsø - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.08.26	Molde - Tromsø	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
06.04.26	Tromsø - Rosenborg	2:0
22.11.25	Tromsø - Rosenborg	1:0
27.07.25	Rosenborg - Tromsø	4:1
Club Friendly
13.10.24	Rosenborg - Tromsø	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.08.24	Rosenborg - Tromsø	1:0
20.05.24	Tromsø - Rosenborg	3:2
Club Friendly
09.03.24	Rosenborg - Tromsø	3:0

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