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Current Win Probability
Rostov 46.6%
Draw 30.9%
Rubin Kazan 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
28.1%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
26.9%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rostov's performance.
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rostov - Rubin Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 10. Komarov I. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 7. Ronaldo 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.
38. Staver E. (G) 12. Arroyo A. 3. Maldonado D. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 18. Ignatiev M. 23. Bezrukov R. 6. Iwu U. 14. Saavedra I. 22. Hodza V. 43. Siwe J.
Substitutes
73. Aznaurov I. 17. Golenkov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 80. Madrakhimov K. 5. Mikhailov Y. 84. Petrov A. (G) 27. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D. 57. Zhbanov I.
11. Gripshi N. 77. Jukic A. 70. Kabutov D. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 59. Motorin D. N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 51. Rozhkov I. 71. Samoshnikov I. 13. Urozov J.
Coaches
Alba J.
Artiga F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Komarov I. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Suleymanov T. ⚽, Olusegun O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saavedra I. ↓, Rozhkov I. ↑,
46', Melekhin V. 🟨,
50', Ygor Nogueira 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Siwe J. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Bezrukov R. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
72', Arroyo A. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
72', Ignatiev M. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
76', Suleymanov T. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
83', Olusegun O. ↓, Mikhailov Y. ↑,
90', Mironov A. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
90+7', Siwe J. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.
Rostov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Rubin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.
Rostov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
FK Rostov: 0.84% Rubin Kazan: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Rubin Kazan
9
2
6
1
12:11
1
12
11
FK Rostov
10
3
2
5
11:17
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Kazan - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.