Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rostov		Fakel

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.47	5.07
	1.80	3.40	5.00
	1.85	3.46	4.98	Watch
	1.77	3.15	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.72)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	4.91 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
52.4%

Draw
28.2%

Fakel
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Rostov - Fakel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rostov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Petrov A. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 3. Sako O. 40. Ygor Nogueira 87. Langovich A. 5. Mikhailov Y. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 10. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 6. Olusegun O.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 40. Clayton Sampaio 53. Bardachev M. 55. Todorovic D. 97. Magomedov B. 23. Yakimov V. (C) 22. El Mhassani H. 99. Giorgobiani N. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 11. Sutormin A.
Substitutes
11. Ajasa I. M. 73. Aznaurov I. 17. Golenkov E. 34. Golikov D. A. (G) 80. Madrakhimov K. 16. Mukhin M. 27. Prokhin D. 7. Ronaldo 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 21. Shantaliy D. 13. Titov D.	8. Bagamaev A. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 90. Koksharov A. 17. Kovalev A. 52. Netfullin R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 19. Pusi B. 7. Turishchev M. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
Coaches
Alba J.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', El Mhassani H. 🟨,
45+1', Sako O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Mironov A. ⚽, Olusegun O. (A),
59', 2 - 0, Kuchaev K. ⚽, Suleymanov T. (A),
64', 3 - 0, Sako O. ⚽, Mironov A. (A),
65', El Mhassani H. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
65', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
65', Todorovic D. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
65', Sutormin A. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
72', Magomedov B. 🟨,
76', Olusegun O. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
80', Gabaraev A. ↓, Koksharov A. ↑,
83', Komarov I. ↓, Aznaurov I. ↑,
83', Suleymanov T. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Koksharov A. ⚽,
90', Mironov A. ↓, Prokhin D. ↑,
90+1', Pusi B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3.

Rostov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fakel has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rostov is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Rostov: Chistyakov D. (Knock)

There will not play in Fakel: Magkeev S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84% Fakel Voronezh: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11
16	Fakel Voronezh	10	0	3	7	6:18	-12	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fakel - the odds 4.7 are the expected chance of winning is 19.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Krasnodar - Rostov	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Fakel - Krasnodar	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Fakel - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Akhmat Grozny - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.26	Rostov - Fakel	2:1
07.07.26	Fakel - Rostov	3:1
12.07.25	Rostov - Fakel	0:2
Russian Premier League
20.04.25	Fakel - Rostov	0:2
01.09.24	Rostov - Fakel	4:1
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Fakel - Rostov	1:1
27.06.24	Fakel - Rostov	0:1

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