The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rodina Moscow 31.8%
Draw 29.4%
Rubin Kazan 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
29%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
27.1%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 50. Rodrigo Becao 75. Nade M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 38. Musaev L. 20. Machado D. 11. Mansilla B. 10. Reyna Y. 5. Egorychev A. 7. Onugkha G.
38. Staver E. (G) 12. Arroyo A. 3. Maldonado D. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 13. Urozov J. 51. Rozhkov I. 71. Samoshnikov I. 22. Hodza V. 6. Iwu U. 8. Jocic B. 43. Siwe J.
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 95. Cissoko K. 49. Dyatlov I. 6. Fishchenko R. 77. Gharibyan A. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 88. Sokol A. 19. Tananeev D. 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.
7. Babaev U. 23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 18. Ignatiev M. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 59. Motorin D. N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 14. Saavedra I. 2. Teslenko E.
Coaches
Diaz J.
Artiga F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Mansilla B. 🟨,
41', Hodza V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Musaev L. 🟨,
50', Rozhkov I. 🟨,
58', Mansilla B. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
58', Reyna Y. ↓, Maksimenko A. ↑,
59', Siwe J. 🟨,
64', Siwe J. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
65', Hodza V. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
65', Jocic B. ↓, Saavedra I. ↑,
72', Rozhkov I. ↓, Teslenko E. ↑,
72', Onugkha G. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Machado D. ⚽, Abdusalamov M. (A),
80', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Sokol A. ↑,
81', Maldonado D. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
81', Musaev L. ↓, Fishchenko R. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Vujacic I. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).
Rodina is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Rubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Rodina has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Rodina: Pozo I.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Rubin: Shabanhaxhaj D.
(Inactive)
We predict that Rubin will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Rodina Moscow: 0.84% Rubin Kazan: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Rubin Kazan
9
2
6
1
12:11
1
12
15
Rodina Moscow
9
1
2
6
10:22
-12
5
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Kazan - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.