Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.2
	3.55	3.35	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.13
	3.46	3.39	2.17
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.38	3.58	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (4.83)	3.38 ↓ (3.96)	2.11 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
27.5%

Draw
27.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

23.7%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

20.1%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rot-Weiß Essen's performance.

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Düsseldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rot-Weiß Essen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Düsseldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	26.7%	56.7%

Rot Weiß Essen - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Fortuna will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 39% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Rot-Weiß Essen in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortuna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rot-Weiß Essen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fortuna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rot-Weiß Essen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German Regionalliga West
12.12.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:2 ✺
09.12.20	Rot-Weiß Essen - Straelen	4:1 ✺
05.12.20	Rot-Weiß Essen - Köln II	3:1 ✺
29.11.20	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.20	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
16.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	3:0 ✺
13.12.20	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
04.12.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
30.11.20	Bochum - Fortuna Düsseldorf	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
09.08.15	Rot-Weiß Essen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:1 penalties

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