Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.7
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.55	3.2	2.85
	2.56	3.13	2.81	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.88
	2.55	3.25	2.81	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.45)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	2.81 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
37%

Draw
29.6%

Charlton Athletic
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Phillips D. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. (C) 16. Jules Z. 6. James R. 14. MacDonald A. 17. McWilliams S. 24. Humphreys C. 7. Powell J. 12. Wilks M. 11. Green A.	21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 10. Docherty G. (C) 6. Coventry C. 16. Edwards J. 11. Leaburn M. 7. Campbell T.
Substitutes
3. Bramall C. 9. Clarke-Harris J. 1. Dawson C. (G) 23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 4. Kelly L. 5. Raggett S.	18. Anderson K. 22. Aneke Ch. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 29. Kanu D. 25. Mannion W. (G)
Coaches
Evans S.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Green A. ⚽, Wilks M. (A),
14', 2 - 0, MacDonald A. ⚽, Green A. (A),
19', McWilliams S. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Leaburn M. ⚽, Docherty G. (A),
45+4', Coventry C. 🟨,
45+4', 3 - 1, Jules Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Small T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
53', 4 - 1, Wilks M. ⚽, Green A. (A),
60', Leaburn M. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
60', Berry L. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
72', Bramall C. 🟨,
78', James R. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
79', Wilks M. 🟨,
83', Docherty G. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
83', Coventry C. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 2, Godden M. ⚽,
90+2', Wilks M. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Chesterfield - Rotherham United	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
11.01.25	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
01.01.25	Lincoln City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
29.12.24	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWT
- Charlton Athletic
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.09.24	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	1:1
09.04.22	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	0:1
02.11.21	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	1:1
02.04.18	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	3:1
26.08.17	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	0:2
English League Championship
30.01.16	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	1:4
12.09.15	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	1:1

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