Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	14:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	14:45	Ligue 1+
United Kingdom	13:45	Ligue 1+


	Paris 13 Atletico		Rouen FC

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.05
	3.40	3.00	2.04
	3.55	3.28	2.21
	3.52	3.3	1.98
	3.50	3.10	2.18
	3.13	3.54	2.14
	3.20	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.1 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris 13 Atletico
27.5%

Draw
28.6%

Rouen FC
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

28.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.2%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris 13 Atletico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Paris 13 Atletico - Rouen FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Temperton A. (G) 24. Bernardino N. 20. Ayessa J. 19. Kone I. (C) 5. Poha J. 18. Dode E. 21. Guendez M. 29. Donat N. 22. Michut E. 25. Soumah-Abbad E. 14. Adelaide M.	1. Maraval A. (G) 5. Gaspar J. 15. Lamgahez Z. 22. Mendy F. (C) 3. Borne M. 13. Camara B. 6. Mbemba N. 25. Diaby S. 8. Egny G. 10. Karamoko I. 9. Tchokounte M.
Substitutes
10. Amara A. 16. Bernard S. (G) 6. Camara I. 4. Diedhiou C. 13. Marthe L. 26. Misiatu S. 11. Sidibe A.	30. Desprez D. (G) 4. Frebourg E. 28. Pacius W. 17. Samoura I. 12. Toure A. 21. Traore S. 29. Viana J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Lamgahez Z. 🟥,
44', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Egny G. ↓, Frebourg E. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Guendez M. ⚽, Donat N. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Camara B. ⚽, Mbemba N. (A),
58', Sidibe A. 🟨,
65', Michut E. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
65', Guendez M. ↓, Amara A. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Amara A. ⚽, Bernardino N. (A),
69', 3 - 1, Poha J. ⚽, Amara A. (A),
70', Mbemba N. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
70', Karamoko I. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
80', Diaby S. ↓, Viana J. ↑,
80', Tchokounte M. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
84', Donat N. ↓, Misiatu S. ↑,
84', Adelaide M. ↓, Marthe L. ↑,
90+6', Camara I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris 13 Atletico won 1.

Paris 13 Atletico has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rouen FC shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rouen FC holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Paris 13 Atletico has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:10 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paris 13 Atletico against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	18:8	10	20

Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now

Rouen: 13.42%

Last Results with these Odds

Rouen FC - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.53%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
03.10.26	Concarneau - Paris 13 Atletico	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Bastia	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLT
- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
03.10.26	Rouen FC - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Caen - Rouen FC	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Rouen FC - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Rouen FC	0:4 ✺
03.09.26	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Rouen FC	0:0
17.10.25	Rouen FC - Paris 13 Atletico	3:0
09.05.25	Rouen FC - Paris 13 Atletico	2:2
17.01.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Rouen FC	1:0
French National 1 - Group B
11.01.20	Paris 13 Atletico - Rouen FC	1:2
17.08.19	Rouen FC - Paris 13 Atletico	3:2

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