Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Canada	15:00	beIN Connect
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2
Israel	22:00	Sport 4
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	14:00	TVC Deportes
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Norway	21:00	VG+
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Russia	23:00	TV Start
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Usa	15:00	beIN Connect, Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports
International	20:00	DirecTV Sports, Fanatiz


	Rouen FC		Lille

	1	X	2
	10	6.25	1.2	Watch
	11.5	6.5	1.19
	14.5	6.9	1.19
	14.32	5.9	1.22
	13.38	5.96	1.22
	13	6	1.2
	13.5	6.65	1.19	Watch
	14.5	6.9	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.09 ↑ (5.5)	6.38 ↑ (3.5)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Coupe De France with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Rouen FC
7.2%

Draw
14.7%

Lille
78.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.2%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

25.5%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rouen FC's form might have worsened.

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.1%	92.9%

Rouen FC - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maraval A. (G) 2. Goprou D. 4. Sanson V. 5. Bassin C. (C) 11. Mbock J. 7. Abdelmoula M. 6. Benzia M. 8. Bezzekhami O. 3. Mion M. 10. Benkaid H. 9. Mbondi C.	1. Mannone V. (G) 3. Meunier T. 4. Diakite B. 2. Mandi A. 6. Ismaily 8. Mukau N. 7. Bouaddi A. 5. Bakker M. 10. Cabella R. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Amede Kabongo R. 19. Bensoula N. 15. Deschamps F. 20. Diarra D. 18. El Khiar S. 12. Gomis A. 13. Lehoux P. 16. Royes L. (G) 17. Toure A.	14. Alexsandro 20. Bayo M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 18. Chevalier L. (G) 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 15. Gudmundsson G. 17. Haraldsson H. 12. Malouda A. 13. Toure O.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ismaily ⚽, David J. (A),
34', Bakker M. 🟨,
38', Mbondi C. 🟨,
45+1', Mbock J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Goprou D. 🟨,
72', Abdelmoula M. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
72', Mbondi C. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
74', Meunier T. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
74', Bakker M. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
79', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
79', Sahraoui O. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
87', Bezzekhami O. ↓, Bensoula N. ↑,
90+4', Benzia M. 🟥,
90+6', Brouard R. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Rouen FC - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Ginglin-Cesson - Rouen FC	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Rouen FC - Boulogne	3:1 ✺
01.11.24	Dijon - Rouen FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montpellier - Lille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Bologna - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

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