Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rouen FC		Lille

	1	X	2
	10	6.25	1.2	Watch
	11.5	6.5	1.19
	14.5	6.9	1.19
	14.32	5.9	1.22
	13.38	5.96	1.22
	13	6	1.2
	13.5	6.65	1.19	Watch
	14.5	6.9	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.09 ↑ (5.5)	6.38 ↑ (3.5)	1.2 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Rouen FC
7.2%

Draw
14.7%

Lille
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.2%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

25.5%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rouen FC's form might have worsened.

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.1%	92.9%

Rouen FC - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maraval A. (G) 2. Goprou D. 4. Sanson V. 5. Bassin C. (C) 11. Mbock J. 7. Abdelmoula M. 6. Benzia M. 8. Bezzekhami O. 3. Mion M. 10. Benkaid H. 9. Mbondi C.	1. Mannone V. (G) 3. Meunier T. 4. Diakite B. 2. Mandi A. 6. Ismaily 8. Mukau N. 7. Bouaddi A. 5. Bakker M. 10. Cabella R. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Amede Kabongo R. 19. Bensoula N. 15. Deschamps F. 20. Diarra D. 18. El Khiar S. 12. Gomis A. 13. Lehoux P. 16. Royes L. (G) 17. Toure A.	14. Alexsandro 20. Bayo M. 16. Caillard M. (G) 18. Chevalier L. (G) 19. Fernandez-Pardo M. 15. Gudmundsson G. 17. Haraldsson H. 12. Malouda A. 13. Toure O.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ismaily ⚽, David J. (A),
34', Bakker M. 🟨,
38', Mbondi C. 🟨,
45+1', Mbock J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Goprou D. 🟨,
72', Abdelmoula M. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
72', Mbondi C. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
74', Meunier T. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
74', Bakker M. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
79', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
79', Sahraoui O. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
87', Bezzekhami O. ↓, Bensoula N. ↑,
90+4', Benzia M. 🟥,
90+6', Brouard R. 🟨,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
06.12.24	Rouen FC - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Ginglin-Cesson - Rouen FC	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
08.11.24	Rouen FC - Boulogne	3:1 ✺
01.11.24	Dijon - Rouen FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
14.12.24	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.24	Lille - Brest	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montpellier - Lille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Bologna - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

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