Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	17:00	Flow Eventos
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2, Voyo
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Bologna		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.32	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.36	3.17	3.47
	2.36	3.12	3.44	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.3
	2.38	3.24	3.43
	2.32	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)	3.18 ↓ (3.39)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bologna
41.2%

Draw
30.2%

Lille
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.3%	57.3%	25.3%

Bologna - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 16.9%). Lille will win (votes: 19 - 26.8%). It will Tie (votes: 40 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.8% – 67.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 3. Posch S. 31. Beukema S. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 80. Fabbian G. 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 7. Orsolini R. 24. Dallinga T. 11. Ndoye D.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Meunier T. 4. Alexsandro 18. Diakite B. 5. Gudmundsson G. 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 9. David J. 19. Fernandez-Pardo M.
Substitutes
15. Casale N. 9. Castro S. 16. Corazza T. 5. Erlic M. 2. Holm E. 14. Iling Junior S. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 18. Pobega T. 34. Ravaglia F. (G) 82. Urbanski K.	20. Bakker M. 27. Bayo M. 10. Cabella R. 16. Caillard M. (G) 7. Haraldsson H. 31. Ismaily 2. Mandi A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 36. Toure O. 23. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Alexsandro 🟨,
33', Lykogiannis C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Mukau N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Meunier T. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Lykogiannis C. (A),
66', 1 - 2, Mukau N. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
68', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
68', Orsolini R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
73', Meunier T. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
75', Fabbian G. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
80', Mandi A. 🟨,
84', Odgaard J. 🟨,
85', Ndoye D. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
85', Posch S. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
86', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
86', Mukau N. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
90+5', Zhegrova E. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Bologna is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bologna will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Muscle Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Erlic M. (Hamstring Injury) Ferguson L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Calf Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Ismaily (Knee Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
24.11.24	Lazio - Bologna	3:0 ✺
10.11.24	Roma - Bologna	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Bologna - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.24	Bologna - Lecce	1:0 ✺
29.10.24	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Nice - Lille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.24	Lille - Juventus	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTTW

Upcoming Matches