Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Zenit		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.58	12.57
	1.35	4.93	11.3	Watch
	1.26	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	5.09 ↑ (4.6)	11.29 ↑ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zenit
73%

Draw
18.6%

Rubin Kazan
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

20.2%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.9%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zenit - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zenit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zenit will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Adamov D. (G) 28. Alip N. 5. Barrios W. (C) 6. Drkusic V. 10. Glushenkov M. 31. Gustavo Mantuan 11. Luiz Henrique 17. Mostovoy A. 33. Nino 20. Pedrinho 8. Wendel	38. Staver E. (G) 12. Arroyo A. 24. Cumic N. 8. Jocic B. 14. Kuzyaev D. 4. Nizhegorodov K. 51. Rozhkov I. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 43. Siwe J. 2. Teslenko E. 5. Vujacic I. (C)
Substitutes
23. Adamov A. 30. Cassierra M. 25. Erakovic S. 21. Erokhin A. 9. Gerson 32. Gondou L. 4. Gorshkov Y. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 18. Mikhailov Y. 7. Sobolev A. 66. Vega R.	23. Bezrukov R. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 27. Gritsaenko A. 22. Hodza V. 19. Ivanov O. 70. Kabutov D. 98. Lobov N. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 96. Vasiljev N. 21. Zotov A.
Coaches
Semak S.	Rakhimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Jocic B. 🟨,
44', Siwe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Drkusic V. ↓, Gerson ↑,
62', Mostovoy A. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
62', Jocic B. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
62', Cumic N. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Nino ⚽,
74', Teslenko E. 🟨,
76', Vujacic I. 🟨,
84', Glushenkov M. ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
86', Rozhkov I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
90+1', Luiz Henrique ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
90+1', Wendel ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
90+3', Ivanov O. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 4.

Zenit is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rubin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zenit is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Zenit: Cassierra M. (Leg Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury) Santos D. (Shoulder Injury) Shilov V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rubin: Daku M. (Yellow Cards) Shvets A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rubin: Daku M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:15. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Zenit - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 70.34%, but this team recently wins 91% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Cup
27.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
23.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Krylya Sovetov - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.11.25	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.11.25	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLW
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Cup
25.11.25	Arsenal Tula - Rubin Kazan	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
22.11.25	Rubin Kazan - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Rubin Kazan - Dynamo Moscow	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
30.09.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:1
12.08.25	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	3:0
Russian Premier League
27.07.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	2:2
30.03.25	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	4:0
Russian Cup
17.09.24	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	2:0
14.08.24	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:1
Russian Premier League
27.07.24	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:4

Upcoming Matches