Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: La Arboleda (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Rubio Ñu		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.10	2.50
	2.50	3.00	2.50
	2.75	3.15	2.63	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.52
	2.63	3.16	2.72	Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.55
	2.68	3.19	2.61	Watch
	2.50	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
35.4%

Draw
29.2%

2 de Mayo
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. 2 de Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 36. Gimenez C. 8. Rojas R. (C) 15. Nunez C. 26. Fretes S. 40. Perez E. 19. Garrone M.	1. Rossi N. (G) 2. Gomez R. 21. Sosa P. (C) 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 11. Coronel U. 37. Delgadillo L. 40. Gonzalez M. 24. Romero O. 30. Farina A. 22. Portillo Avalos T. G. 7. Caceres Aguero F. M.
Substitutes
18. Acosta M. 7. Alfonso E. 29. Alfonso O. 2. Ferreira R. 16. Gonzalez J. 27. Ledesma A. 32. Maldonado L. (G) 10. Mendieta W. 17. Paredes K. 14. Ramos M. 11. Roldan M. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.	26. Aguayo A. 25. Cervera T. 20. Diaz E. 23. Espinola A. 10. Gomez A. 16. Gomez M. 12. Machado A. 32. Ramirez M. (G) 31. Riquelme H. 5. Saiz C. 9. Sanguina J. 3. Villalba A.
Coaches
Torrente J.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Blasi B. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Ramirez Perdesen C. G. (Own goal),
45', Caceres Aguero F. M. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Romero O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sosa P. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
49', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez M. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
63', Portillo Avalos T. G. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
63', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
64', Rojas R. ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
64', Fretes S. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
72', Gimenez C. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
72', Garrone M. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Farina A. ⚽,
82', Acosta M. 🟨,
83', Coronel U. ↓, Villalba A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Vallejos J. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 0.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Rubio Ñu has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:16 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rubio Ñu against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 3:9 goals (averaging 0.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Rubio Ñu - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.29%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

2 de Mayo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- CS 2 de Mayo
Copa Paraguay
22.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.07.26	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	1:0
09.05.26	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	2:0
08.03.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	0:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
31.07.23	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	2:0
22.04.23	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	1:3
29.07.22	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	2:2
22.04.22	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	1:1

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