Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: La Arboleda (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Rubio Ñu		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.48	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.62	3.1	3.02
	2.53	3.06	2.93	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.56	2.98	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.57)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	2.82 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
36.8%

Draw
30.6%

Sportivo Luqueño
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fragueda F. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 36. Gimenez C. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. (C) 20. Martinez F. 2. Ferreira R. 8. Rojas R. 35. Montiel L. 40. Perez E.	12. Aguilar A. (G) 5. Villalba A. 6. Wiechniak F. 2. Riveros P. 24. Balbuena A. 23. Maiz A. 37. Comas L. (C) 18. Quintana S. 10. Diaz S. 25. Ramos J. 27. Ojeda M.
Substitutes
33. Alborno R. 29. Alfonso O. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 30. Ayala P. 1. Canteros T. (G) 11. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 27. Gomez S. 4. Gonzalez J. 28. Leguizamon A. 38. Manzur G. 37. Roldan M. 18. Villagra C.	16. Benitez A. 14. Benitez F. 8. Bogado G. 3. Brizuela A. 26. Diaz J. 30. Franco T. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 1. Mongelos F. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 35. Pereira A. 7. Pereira K. 11. Ruiz O.
Coaches
Gimenez F.	Lopez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Rojas R. 🟨,
8', 🟨,
10', 🟨,
18', Balbuena A. 🟥,
26', Diaz S. ↓, Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montiel L. ↓, Alborno R. ↑,
46', Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
49', Vallejos J. 🟨,
58', Maiz A. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
59', Vallejos J. ↓, Alvarez Benitez P. ↑,
59', Martinez F. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
72', Comas L. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
72', Ramos J. ↓, Bogado G. ↑,
77', Ferreira R. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
77', Gimenez C. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
85', Ojeda M. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
88', Perez E. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
90+6', Roldan M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Rubio Ñu - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.04.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	4:0 ✺
01.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLL
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
31.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
02.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	0:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.07.22	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	2:1
Copa Paraguay
20.08.19	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	1:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.11.17	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Luqueño	3:3
27.08.17	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	3:0
02.06.17	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	1:1
24.03.17	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1

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