The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ruch Chorzów 16%
Draw 21.9%
Legia Warsaw 62.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
24.8%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
24.4%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ruch Chorzów's form might have worsened.
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
13.3%
80%
Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw Predictions
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Turk M. (G) 20. Szymanski S. (C) 16. Tsykalo Y. 38. Karasinski S. 17. Lukic A. 27. Szwoch M. 23. Mezghrani M. 13. Moneta L. 4. Preisler D. 28. Borowski F. 95. Szczepan D.
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 13. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 22. Elitim J. 25. Morishita R. 11. Chodyna K. 53. Urbanski W. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 7. Kozak M. 11. Myszor J. 86. Novothny S. 21. Sadlok M. 30. Sobeczko J. 10. Starzynski F. 1. Szymanski J. (G)
8. Augustyniak R. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 77. Kovacevic V. (G) 23. Kun P. 82. Luquinhas 6. Oyedele M. 17. Shkurin I. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Szulczek D.
Feio G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Chodyna K. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
12', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Gual M. ⚽,
33', Borowski F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Urbanski W. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
46', Kapuadi S. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
52', Szymanski S. 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Wszolek P. ⚽,
57', Gual M. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
57', Karasinski S. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
57', Tsykalo Y. ↓, Starzynski F. ↑,
60', Pankov R. 🟨,
62', 🟨,
63', Szczepan D. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
63', Moneta L. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
66', Kapustka B. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
78', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Morishita R. ⚽, Chodyna K. (A),
83', Mezghrani M. 🟨,
84', Preisler D. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Shkurin I. ⚽, Pankov R. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of home games.
In this match Legia is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 10:26 (average 0.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.4:1.1).
Poland
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Turk M. (G) 
Szymanski S. (C) 
Tsykalo Y. 
Lukic A. 
Mezghrani M. 
Preisler D. 
Pankov R. 
Kapuadi S. 
Vinagre R. 
Elitim J. 
Morishita R. 
Gual M. 
Novothny S. 
Bichakhchyan V. 
Kovacevic V. (G) 
Luquinhas 
Shkurin I. 
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