Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.1	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.35	Watch
	1.78	3.74	4.12
	1.78	3.80	4.06	Watch
	1.75	3.86	4.16	Watch
	1.6	3.69	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.6)	3.78 ↑ (3.69)	4.2 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
53.6%

Draw
24.4%

Znicz Pruszków
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Znicz (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 3 - 50%). Znicz (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gradecki B. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. 38. Karasinski S. 7. Kolar M. 15. Konczkowski M. (C) 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 23. Mezghrani M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 27. Szwoch M. 25. Ventura D.	12. Misztal P. (G) 29. Bak D. 10. Ciepiela B. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 9. Majewski R. 11. Moskwik P. 14. Okhronchuk V. 80. Plewka P. 8. Proczek T. 7. Sokol D.
Substitutes
82. Bielecki J. (G) 99. Dyduch K. 2. Imiolek K. 24. Komor A. 14. Nono 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 22. Zurawski M.	20. Borecki M. 19. Karol M. 25. Konieczny D. 16. Mak M. 53. Nadolski A. 23. Napieraj K. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 77. Skladowski F. 22. Tabara K.
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Struhar P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Bak D. ⚽, Majewski R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Kolar M. 🟨,
59', Proczek T. 🟨,
64', Ceglarz P. ↓, Nono ↑,
64', Proczek T. ↓, Borecki M. ↑,
69', Ciepiela B. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
75', Majewski R. 🟨,
76', Mezghrani M. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Bak D. ⚽,
81', Kolar M. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
81', Ventura D. ↓, Dyduch K. ↑,
84', Bak D. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
84', Majewski R. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Jach J. (Own goal),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 2.

Ruch Chorzów has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Znicz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ruch Chorzów is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
07.11.25	Znicz Pruszków - Chrobry Głogów	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.12.24	Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów	2:3
28.07.24	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0
Polish Cup
26.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
Polish Division 2
01.05.22	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	0:0
23.10.21	Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
29.03.19	Znicz Pruszków - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
11.09.18	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	1:1

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