Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.6
	2.8	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.74	3.31	2.74
	2.72	3.3	2.76
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.69	3.22	2.59	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.53)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2.6 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
34.8%

Draw
29.1%

Górnik Zabrze
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stipica D. (G) 59. Stepinski P. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 96. Dadok R. 7. Letniowski J. 8. Sikora P. (C) 5. Wojtowicz T. 22. Starzynski F. 95. Szczepan D. 88. Vlkanova A.	1. Bielica D. (G) 27. Szala D. 5. Szczesniak K. 26. Janicki R. 64. Janza E. (C) 8. Pacheco D. 6. Rasak D. 7. Kapralik A. 10. Podolski L. 11. Ennali L. 9. Musiolik S.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 77. Bartolewski M. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 70. Kozak M. 13. Moneta L. 86. Novothny S. 4. Szur P.	55. Czyz S. 41. Kozuki S. 21. Krawczyk P. 17. Lukoszek K. 16. Olkowski P. 2. Sekulic B. 25. Siplak M. 32. Szromnik M. (G) 13. Triantafyllopoulos K.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Urban J.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Śląski.

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 2.

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Górnik Zabrze is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.03.24	Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
09.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTTL
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
19.02.24	Górnik Zabrze - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
15.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
Polish Cup
01.09.22	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.02.16	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
13.09.15	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:0
06.04.15	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
04.10.14	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
04.05.14	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	2:0

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