Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 26

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Raków Częstochowa		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.33	6
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.59	6.4
	1.49	4.59	6.37
	1.48	4.33	6.29	Watch
	1.46	4.25	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	6.12 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
63.4%

Draw
21.2%

Ruch Chorzów
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

20.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Raków Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 21. Drachal D. 30. Kochergin V. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. C. 11. Yeboah J. 19. Crnac A. 27. Nowak B.	36. Stipica D. (G) 96. Dadok R. 59. Stepinski P. 20. Szymanski S. 6. Josema 5. Wojtowicz T. 22. Starzynski F. 7. Letniowski J. 8. Sikora P. (C) 88. Vlkanova A. 86. Novothny S.
Substitutes
23. Barath P. 89. Bieszczad K. (G) 77. Cebula M. 15. Kovacevic A. 10. Lopez I. 17. Myszor J. 26. Otieno E. 88. Rodin M. 9. Zwolinski L.	77. Bartolewski M. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 70. Kozak M. 13. Moneta L. 21. Sadlok M. 95. Szczepan D. 4. Szur P.
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Crnac A. ⚽, Drachal D. (A),
39', Starzynski F. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yeboah J. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
60', Vlkanova A. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
60', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Bartolewski M. ↑,
64', Nowak B. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
81', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
81', Silva J. C. ↓, Otieno E. ↑,
82', Bartolewski M. 🟨,
86', Crnac A. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
87', Sikora P. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
87', Dadok R. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
90', Szymanski S. 🟨,
90+4', Letniowski J. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Moneta L. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Raków have a series of guest games.

In this match Raków is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Raków won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
13.03.24	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Polish Cup
27.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
01.03.24	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ruch Chorzów - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	3:5
Polish Division 1
09.05.18	Raków Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
13.10.17	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	1:0
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	1:0

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