Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 12

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Oita Trinita

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.9
	3.68	3.18	1.98
	3.7	3.33	1.99	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.7	3.14	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	1.95 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
24.7%

Draw
28.7%

Oita Trinita
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

27.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 27. Funabashi Y. 3. Kikuchi S. 8. Horiuchi H. 15. Araki R. 46. Ikeda R. 16. Ihori K. 17. Kato Y. 11. Ishiura T. 39. Ihara A. 9. Asakawa H.	22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 30. Tone I. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 7. Yoshida M. 36. Matsuoka H. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 72. Yamaguchi T. 9. Arima K. 17. Kim Hyun-woo
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 26. Jennings C. 22. Kamiya K. 33. Miyamoto R. (G) 7. Motegi S. 6. Shigema K. 23. Sota K. 89. Takagi D. 18. Ueno Y.	13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 5. Nakagawa H. 18. Nodake J. 2. Okamoto T. 32. Sakata R. 16. Shige T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 15. Yashiki Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsuoka H. 🟨,
62', Matsuoka H. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
63', Kim Hyun-woo ↓, Kimoto M. ↑,
72', Asakawa H. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
74', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
83', Ihara A. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
84', Arima K. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
84', Utsumoto S. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
90', Kimoto M. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, Ueno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Sakakibara K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ikeda R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nakagawa H. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ishiura T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Isa K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Sota K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Misao Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kikuchi S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Matheus Pereira (Penalty Awarded),
6, Horiuchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Nodake J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Ryūkyū has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oita Trinita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oita Trinita will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ryūkyū won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 J3 League
18.04.26	Ryūkyū - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLLW
- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
19.04.26	Reilac Shiga - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	2:3
Japan J2 League
23.10.22	Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita	1:0
23.03.22	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	4:1

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