Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Ryūkyū		Albirex Niigata

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.66
	4.3	3.9	1.7
	4.5	3.4	1.74
	4.87	3.75	1.78
	4.6	3.3	1.7
	4.85	3.68	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
20%

Draw
26%

Albirex Niigata
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

27.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

26.8%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	11.1%	70.4%

Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ryūkyū will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0.

Ryūkyū is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Niigata in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
27.04.22	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Vegalta Sendai - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama	3:3 ✺
03.04.22	Yokohama FC - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTL
- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
27.04.22	Albirex Niigata - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Albirex Niigata - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Albirex Niigata - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.11.21	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	1:1
30.05.21	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	2:1
30.09.20	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	0:1
23.08.20	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	1:0
27.07.19	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	4:0
25.05.19	Ryūkyū - Albirex Niigata	2:1

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