Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium (Okinawa)


	Ryūkyū		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.2	1.67	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.63
	4.5	4	1.68	Watch
	4.6	3.87	1.7
	4.61	3.87	1.7
	4.5	3.7	1.62
	4.55	3.85	1.71	Watch
	4.1	4.1	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (5.78)	3.91 ↓ (4.67)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
21.2%

Draw
23.6%

Gamba Osaka
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

19.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.6%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryūkyū's performance.

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gamba Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryūkyū that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gamba Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ryūkyū - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Park Seong-Su (G) 17. Masutani K. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 6. Okazawa K. 55. Koki Y. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 24. Sato Y. 19. Takayasu T. 7. Shirai H. 8. Iwabuchi R.	22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 2. Fukuoka S. 24. Egawa Y. 33. Nakano S. 27. Mito R. 16. Suzuki T. 8. Meshino R. 48. Ishige H. 10. Kurata S. 40. Toyama S.
Substitutes
35. Higashi J. (G) 18. Hiramatsu S. 39. Ihara A. 3. Mori Y. 9. Noda R. 89. Takagi D. 22. Uehara M. 23. Yamauchi S. 26. Yoshimoto T.	23. Dawhan 32. Furukawa K. 19. Konno I. 28. Saka K. 13. Sakamoto I. 97. Welton 9. Yamada K. 17. Yamashita R. 31. Zhang A. (G)
Coaches
Kim J.	Poyatos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Kurata S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Tomidokoro Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Suzuki T. ⚽,
58', Sato Y. 🟨,
64', Takayasu T. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
68', Mito R. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
68', Meshino R. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Shirai H. ⚽,
79', Masutani K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
79', Iwabuchi R. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
80', Toyama S. ↓, Sakamoto I. ↑,
80', Ishige H. ↓, Dawhan ↑,
80', Egawa Y. ↓, Saka K. ↑,
88', Koki Y. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
88', Shirai H. ↓, Noda R. ↑,
90+2', Noda R. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Gamba Osaka is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
20.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Ryūkyū - Nagano Parceiro	4:3 ✺
10.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLTW
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
20.04.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Gamba Osaka - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
10.04.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLT

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