Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.85	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.15	4.55
	1.98	3.08	3.88	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.83	3.14	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.01)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	4.17 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
48.8%

Draw
29.4%

Ferroviária
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

30.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

São Bernardo - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (C) 97. Augusto 26. Davi Gabriel 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 99. Kayke 31. Lucas Lima 7. Lucas Tocantins 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson 88. Silvinho	1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 6. Edson Lucas 3. Gustavo Medina 10. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 11. Vitor Barreto 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
91. Alan Santos 6. Arthur Henrique 30. Godoy de Andrade G. C. 9. Joao Carlos 11. Joao Diogo 43. Joao Ramos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 75. Maycon Douglas 20. Nycollas 8. Rodrigo Souza 66. Vitor Ricardo 23. Wesley Dias	20. Cassio Gabriel 16. Caua A. 15. Danilo 19. Denilson Goulart 21. Fernandinho 12. Leo Wall (G) 23. Luis Henrique 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 14. Paulinho Santos 18. Thailor 22. Weverton
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
33', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
35', Rafael Forster 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', de Moura C. 🟨,
66', Davi Gabriel ↓, Arthur Henrique ↑,
66', Juninho ↓, Fernando ↑,
76', Silvinho ↓, Joao Diogo ↑,
76', Lucas Lima ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
78', Ricardinho ↓, Pablo ↑,
78', Ze Mateus ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
85', Helder Maciel 🟨,
86', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
90+1', Kayke ↓, Nycollas ↑,
90+1', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Maycon Douglas ↑,
90+4', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Weverton ↑,
90+4', Vitor Barreto ↓, Caua A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

São Bernardo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
14.07.24	Volta Redonda - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
08.07.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	1:4 ✺
23.06.24	São Bernardo - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
15.07.24	Ferroviária - Remo	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
30.06.24	Ferroviária - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Caxias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.23	Ferroviária - São Bernardo	0:1
22.03.17	São Bernardo - Ferroviária	0:0
20.03.16	Ferroviária - São Bernardo	0:2

Upcoming Matches