Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio 19 de Outubro (Ijuí)
|
 |
|
 |
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São Luiz |
|
Guarany de Bagé |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.12 |
5.04 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.09 |
5.2 |
 Watch |
 |
1.7 |
3 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.1 |
5.16 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.71) |
3.08 ↑
(3.07) |
5.05 ↑
(5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São Luiz
52.7% | Draw
29.4% | Guarany de Bagé
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-0.4%)São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 3.São Luiz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Guarany de Bagé's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, São Luiz is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 26.04.26 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 0:1 | | 13.07.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 2:1 | | 03.05.25 | São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho | | | 23.02.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 0:2 | | 20.02.25 | São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé | 0:1 | | 15.02.25 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 0:1 | | 24.02.24 | Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz | 1:0 |
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