Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	São Martinho		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.15
	1.68	3.38	4.67
	1.97	3.16	3.71	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.7	3.61	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.23)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	4.23 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Martinho
50.9%

Draw
27.7%

Vilaverdense
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Martinho's performance.

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilaverdense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Martinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilaverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Martinho - Vilaverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Martinho won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, São Martinho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, São Martinho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Camacha - São Martinho	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Brito - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Martinho - Vianense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTW
- Vilaverdense FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Vilaverdense - Vianense	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vilaverdense - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Limianos - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.11.25	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	2:3
02.04.22	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	2:2
07.04.19	Vilaverdense - São Martinho	1:1
18.11.18	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	5:0
28.01.18	São Martinho - Vilaverdense	1:2

São Martinho - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide