Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 3

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: De Oliveira L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Portugal	Canal 11
World	Fanatiz


	São Paulo		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.33	12	Watch
	1.35	4.75	9
	1.3	5	10
	1.31	5	11.19
	1.32	4.78	10.45	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8.5
	1.35	4.24	10.6	Watch
	1.3	5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	4.66 ↑ (3.7)	10.22 ↑ (10.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
70.7%

Draw
20.1%

Guarani
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

24.8%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

São Paulo - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 13. Diaz E. 29. Pablo Maia 25. Alisson 10. Luciano 8. Oscar 7. Lucas Moura 9. Jonathan Calleri	1. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 2. Justen 3. Raphael (C) 4. Titi 6. Emerson 10. Giva 5. Nathan Camargo 8. Caio Mello 7. Joao Victor 11. Rafael Bilu 9. Freitas
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 47. Ferreirinha 93. Jandrei (G) 30. Joao Moreira 20. Marcos Antonio 36. Patryck 22. Ruan Tressoldi 35. Sabino 39. William Gomes	13. Caio Dias 12. Conte F. (G) 15. Daniel 21. Eliseu 20. Isaque 17. Luiz Miguel 14. Manoel P. 18. Mateus Sarara 23. Porfirio L. 19. Renan Bernabe 16. Vinicius Kaue 22. Yan Henrique
Coaches
Cuberas M.	Mauricio Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Alisson (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Giva ↓, Isaque ↑,
64', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
65', Oscar ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
70', Justen ↓, Yan Henrique ↑,
70', Rafael Bilu ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
70', Mateus Sarara ↓, Daniel ↑,
77', Titi 🟥,
78', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
78', Lucas Moura ↓, Erick ↑,
79', Freitas ↓, Caio Dias ↑,
82', Igor Vinicius ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,

Preview

São Paulo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.25	São Paulo - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	São Paulo - Juventude	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Guarani	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Guarani - Ceará	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Brusque - Guarani	2:1 ✺
12.11.24	Guarani - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.24	Guarani - São Paulo	1:1
27.01.22	Guarani - São Paulo	2:1
14.04.21	São Paulo - Guarani	3:2

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