Match Info

Paulista - Round 2

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	São Paulo		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.15	5.33	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.54	3.68	5.62
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	3.84 ↑ (3.7)	5.28 ↓ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
58.3%

Draw
24.2%

São Bernardo
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

São Paulo - São Bernardo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 94. Danielzinho 29. Pablo Maia 35. Sabino 21. Soares C. 5. Robert Arboleda 11. Ferreira 18. Wendell 7. Lucas Moura 45. Lucca Marques 14. Tapia G.	1. Alex Alves (G) 21. Hugo Sanches 3. Helder Maciel 25. Gonzaga W. 6. Para 28. Joao Paulo 8. Foguinho 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia (C) 31. Victor Andrade
Substitutes
16. Bobadilla D. 56. Bosshardt N. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 30. Felipe Negrucci 32. Ferraresi N. 40. Igor Felisberto 9. Jonathan Calleri 10. Luciano 8. Marcos Antonio 39. Paulinho 46. Pedro Ferreira 2. Toloi R.	97. Augusto 10. Fabricio Daniel 30. Junior Urso 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 5. Matheus Salustiano 19. Neto Costa 29. Pedrinho 11. Pedro Vitor 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 20. Rodrigues F.
Coaches
Crespo H.	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Joao Paulo 🟨,
32', Wendell 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Para 🟨,
55', Para ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
56', Echapora ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
57', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
59', Wendell ↓, Bosshardt N. ↑,
59', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
66', Victor Andrade ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
67', Lucas Moura ↓, Luciano ↑,
67', Tapia G. ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
76', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
76', Joao Paulo ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
77', Lucca Marques ↓, Paulinho ↑,
79', Mario Sergio 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽,
83', Gonzaga W. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.

São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.01.26	Mirassol - São Paulo	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	São Paulo - Internacional RS	3:0 ✺
27.11.25	Fluminense - São Paulo	6:0 ✺
23.11.25	São Paulo - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	São Bernardo - Capivariano	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	São Bernardo - Floresta	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Floresta - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	São Bernardo - São Paulo	1:3
25.02.23	São Paulo - São Bernardo	0:1
22.03.22	São Paulo - São Bernardo	4:1
29.03.17	São Bernardo - São Paulo	0:1
05.03.16	São Paulo - São Bernardo	1:3
20.02.14	São Bernardo - São Paulo	1:1
20.03.13	São Bernardo - São Paulo	1:2

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