Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV


	São Paulo		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5.75
	1.62	3.5	6.25
	1.7	3.3	6.29
	1.63	3.2	5.8
	1.68	3.46	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	3.41 ↓ (3.9)	5.88 ↑ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
56.5%

Draw
27.5%

San Lorenzo
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

São Paulo - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 13. Rafinha (C) 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Lucas Beraldo 38. Caio Paulista 7. Alisson 29. Pablo Maia 27. Wellington Rato 10. Luciano 11. Rodrigo Nestor 9. Jonathan Calleri	13. Batalla A. (C) 2. Perez R. 22. Campi G. 23. Hernandez G. 47. Giay A. 5. Elias J. 3. Sanchez C. 21. Braida M. 41. Leguizamon I. 10. Barrios N. 11. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
4. Diego Costa 28. Franco A. 20. Gabriel Neves 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan 21. Mendez J. 15. Michel Araujo 45. Nathan Mendes 12. Pato 18. Rodriguinho 47. Vilhena P. 6. Welington	1. Altamirano F. (G) 9. Blandi N. 15. Calcaterra D. 55. Goyeneche J. 44. Hernandez M. 58. Irala E. 24. James J. 35. Lujan G. 8. Maroni G. 49. Perea D. 50. Perruzzi F. 46. Silva T.
Coaches
Junior D.	Insua R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

São Paulo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Lorenzo have a series of home games.

In this match São Paulo is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	San Lorenzo - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	São Paulo - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.07.23	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.23	Cuiabá - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	San Lorenzo - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.07.23	Tigre - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.07.23	San Lorenzo - Platense	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	San Lorenzo - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	San Lorenzo - São Paulo	1:0
Copa Libertadores
01.04.15	San Lorenzo - São Paulo	1:0
18.03.15	São Paulo - San Lorenzo	1:0

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