Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3


	San Lorenzo		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	6	Watch
	1.71	3.25	5.5
	1.62	3.55	6.1
	1.69	3.32	6.42
	1.7	3.1	5.25
	1.7	3.4	5.6	Watch
	1.7	3.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	5.84 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
55.6%

Draw
28.3%

Independiente Medellín
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.3%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

San Lorenzo - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Batalla A. (C) 23. Hernandez G. 35. Lujan G. 2. Perez R. 21. Braida M. 5. Elias J. 41. Leguizamon I. 47. Giay A. 8. Maroni G. 11. Bareiro A. 10. Barrios N.	1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Londono D. 24. Ortiz J. 29. Palacios J. 2. Chaverra L. 6. Loaiza Gutierrez D. A. 16. Torres D. (C) 15. Alvarado J. 8. Quinonez D. 9. Pons L. 20. Monsalve M.
Substitutes
1. Altamirano F. (G) 9. Blandi N. 15. Calcaterra D. 22. Campi G. 55. Goyeneche J. 44. Hernandez M. 19. Insaurralde M. 58. Irala E. 20. Martegani A. 49. Perea D. 50. Perruzzi F. 46. Silva T.	30. Arizala J. 5. Cadavid A. 14. Cuesta J. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 27. Leon Muniz B. 4. Marulanda J. 31. Moreno D. 3. Moreno V. 7. Plata A. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Insua R.	Arias A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

San Lorenzo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Medellín has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's San Lorenzo to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.07.23	Belgrano - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Independiente Medellín - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.07.23	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:0 ✺
05.07.23	Racing - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	San Lorenzo - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTTW
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
15.07.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Independiente Medellín - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.06.23	Internacional RS - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.06.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Independiente Medellín - San Lorenzo	0:1

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