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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 48%
Draw 28.8%
Atlético Mineiro 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.7%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
28.3%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 22. Duarte D. 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 19. Lucas Ramon 94. Danielzinho 8. Marcos Antonio 18. Wendell 37. Artur 43. Santana G. 10. Luciano (C)
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 2. Natanael 40. Vitao 21. Franco A. 6. Lodi R. 15. Castano K. 5. Alexsander 28. Cuello 30. Victor Hugo 11. Bernard (C) 19. Reinier
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 80. Cauly 48. Djhordney 34. dos Santos P. 11. Ferreira 12. Iago Borduchi 9. Jonathan Calleri 28. Newton 29. Pablo Maia 49. Ryan Francisco 2. Toloi R.
9. Cassierra M. 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 7. Fred 10. Gustavo Scarpa 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 46. Pedro Cobra (G) 53. Pedro Lemos 23. Preciado A. 31. Robert (G) 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Dominguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Reinier ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
46', Bernard ↓, Fred ↑,
46', Castano K. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
63', Danielzinho ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
63', Santana G. ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
64', Wendell ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Artur (A),
69', 2 - 0, Iago Borduchi ⚽, Lucas Ramon (A),
70', Alexsander ↓, Minda A. ↑,
81', Artur ↓, Djhordney ↑,
81', Victor Hugo ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
85', Luciano ↓, Ferreira ↑,
90+1', Djhordney 🟨,
90+4', Cuello 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1.
Recent performances by São Paulo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético MG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
São Paulo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in São Paulo: Bobadilla D.
(Inactive)
Lucas Moura
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lucca Marques
(Jaw injury)
Victor Sa
(Inactive)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Igor Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Indio
(Knee Injury)
Lyanco
(Foot Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Ruan Tressoldi
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
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Rafael (G) 
Duarte D. 
Robert Arboleda 
Castano K. 
Cuello 
Carlos Coronel (G) 
Toloi R. 
Cisse M. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
