Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Preliminary - Final

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium (El Jadida)


	São Tomé and Príncipe		Ethiopia

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.25	1.82
	4.43	3.26	1.83
	4.55	3.24	1.87
	4	3	1.85
	4.54	3.53	1.93	Watch
	7.8	3.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (7.8)	3.36 ↓ (3.9)	1.78 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Tomé and Príncipe
18.9%

Draw
28.1%

Ethiopia
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.7%

23.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Tomé and Príncipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Tomé and Príncipe's performance.

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

São Tomé and Príncipe - Ethiopia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. São Tomé will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ethiopia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Markneh C. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Yalew A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 3, Yalew A. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location. First leg.

In this match, Ethiopia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Tomé won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Tomé and Príncipe
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Malawi	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Tunisia	0:6 ✺
09.09.25	Namibia - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:0 ✺
04.09.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea	2:3 ✺
24.03.25	Liberia - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLLLL
- Ethiopia
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Burkina Faso - Ethiopia	3:1 ✺
08.10.25	Ethiopia - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
09.09.25	Sierra Leone - Ethiopia	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Egypt - Ethiopia	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Ethiopia - Djibouti	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
11.10.15	Ethiopia - São Tomé and Príncipe	3:0
08.10.15	São Tomé and Príncipe - Ethiopia	1:0

São Tomé and Príncipe - Ethiopia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide