Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.75
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.58	3.45	5.4
	1.66	3.25	4.8
	1.64	3.57	5.86
	1.67	3.4	5.25
	1.64	3.68	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	5.17 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
56.1%

Draw
26.2%

Arezzo
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

15.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Südtirol Alto Adige - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Südtirol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arezzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Südtirol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.21	Perugia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Imolese	4:0 ✺
08.03.21	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.21	Arezzo - Imolese	0:0 ✺
17.03.21	Fano - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Arezzo - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.20	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.15	Arezzo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:3
06.01.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Arezzo	4:3

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