Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3	3.35	Watch
	2.25	3.08	3.89
	2.28	3.18	3.01	Watch
	2.21	3.29	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.31)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	3.37 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
42.5%

Draw
29.7%

Carrarese
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	60%	10%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 28. Kofler R. 5. Masiello A. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 6. Martini J. 24. Davi S. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.	1. Bleve M. (G) 26. Ruggeri F. 6. Oliana F. 37. Calabrese N. 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 8. Melegoni F. 32. Finotto M. 44. Sekulov N. 11. Cicconi M.
Substitutes
46. Brik D. 17. Casiraghi D. 14. Coulibaly M. 23. Davi F. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 9. Pecorino E. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 13. Sabatini C. 62. Theiner D. (G) 3. Toure A. 7. Zedadka K.	80. Accornero F. 30. Arena A. 7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 5. Salamon B. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Castori F.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Merkaj S. 🟥,
14', Zuelli E. 🟨,
34', Sekulov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sekulov N. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Schiavi N. (Pen),
52', 1 - 1, Odogwu R. ⚽, Martini J. (A),
65', Ruggeri F. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
65', Melegoni F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
74', Tronchin S. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
85', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
85', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
90+2', Zuelli E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
90+2', Odogwu R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).

Südtirol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carrarese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Südtirol could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Südtirol: El Kaouakibi H. (Thigh Injury) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Carrarese: Calabrese N. (Inactive) Hasa L. (Inactive) Illanes J. (Yellow Cards) Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Padova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pescara - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	2:2
27.08.24	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
23.03.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:0
24.11.13	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1

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