Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
	2.52	2.98	2.88
	2.42	2.99	3.57
	1.42	4.20	7.72	Watch
	2.56	3.02	2.85	Watch
	2.55	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	3.65 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
41.9%

Draw
30.9%

Juve Stabia
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juve Stabia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juve Stabia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	63.6%	9.1%

Carrarese - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Carrarese (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 4. Illanes J. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 13. Bouah D. 18. Schiavi N. 17. Zuelli E. 70. Hasa L. 11. Cicconi M. 44. Sekulov N. 9. Abiuso F.	1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 24. Carissoni L. 6. Bellich M. (C) 33. Giorgini A. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 37. Maistro F. 3. Reale F. 98. Mosti N. 7. Burnete R.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 7. Belloni N. 10. Bozhanaj K. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 6. Oliana F. 77. Parlanti G. 21. Rubino T. 26. Ruggeri F. 92. Torregrossa E. 72. Zanon S.	15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 77. Cacciamani A. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 10. Pierobon C. 11. Piscopo K. 16. Signorini A. (G) 19. Stabile G. 13. Varnier M. 45. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Calabro A.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
25', Maistro F. 🟨,
38', Bouah D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Reale F. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
52', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
52', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
57', Mosti N. 🟨,
61', Imperiale M. 🟨,
67', Ruggero M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
67', Carissoni L. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
68', Calabrese N. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
68', Zuelli E. ↓, Oliana F. ↑,
75', Maistro F. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Hasa L. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
79', Mosti N. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
83', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽, Hasa L. (A),
90+1', De Pieri G. 🟨,
90+3', Leone G. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Carrarese have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juve Stabia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Mannini M. (International duty) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Candellone L. (Injury) Gabrielloni A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.10.25	Carrarese - Modena	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Empoli - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Carrarese - Avellino	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Carrarese - Padova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLTT
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Juve Stabia - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Juve Stabia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	2:1
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0

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