The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Südtirol-Alto Adige 41.7%
Draw 28.9%
Cesena 29.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
28.7%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.4%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Südtirol Alto Adige - Cesena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 0.
Südtirol has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cesena is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Südtirol holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Südtirol has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Südtirol against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Sudtirol
9
3
4
2
10:9
1
13
10
Cesena
9
2
5
2
10:13
-3
11
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Sudtirol: 0.83% Cesena: 0.41%
Last Results with these Odds
Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Cesena - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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